Serie A · resolved market
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x844868417099ed5ff627e974d58a5a4228479c11826dbdb6349eea6473bd4ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,527
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,527 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 46c | 22,883$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,456.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 1c | 10,349$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 53c | 10,136$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,733.63 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Under | 51c | 9,358$4,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 7,631$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690.34 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 7,040$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 48c | 4,965$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 50c | 4,471$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Under | 1c | 4,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 4,272$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.48 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 3,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 50c | 3,408$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 3,102$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.89 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 2,356$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.81 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,264$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.9 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…db2fbacked Under | 32c | 1,638$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -65%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…2e9fbacked Under | 51c | 1,562$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 1,471$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.75 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 1,432$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 1,120$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.7 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 55c | 1,083$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 393 | 54.2%213 W · 180 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 892.27$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 842.92$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 702$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.46 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 53c | 567.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.37 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 512$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 502.16$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.15 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed Under | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Under | 41c | 497$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 455$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 49c | 452$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 60c | 420$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 407.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.38 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 43c | 407.07$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.25 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 69c | 405$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Over | 43c | 383.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 376.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.66 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 43c | 368.97$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 45c | 362$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.26 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 52c | 358.23$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.5 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 51c | 343.72$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 52c | 317.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 286.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 70c | 274.25$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 47c | 272.08$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 229.79$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 44c | 224.06$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.26 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 48c | 222.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 57c | 217.54$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 48c | 217$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…3335backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Over | 44c | 202.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90cf…6cc2backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 267 | 44.6%119 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 50c | 190.46$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 43c | 179.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.39 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Over | 48c | 166.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 45c | 162.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 51c | 151.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 71c | 143.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 137.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Over | 49c | 136$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 50c | 122.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 116.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 49c | 111.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 50c | 109.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 53c | 105.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 42c | 105$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 55c | 104.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Under | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…6428backed Over | 48c | 102.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 76c | 101.91$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 100.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5this page
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: ACF Fiorentina O/U 1.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: AS Roma O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: AS Roma O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: AS Roma O/U 2.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5Over won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)AS Roma won
- Spread: AS Roma (-2.5)AS Roma won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.