TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,964

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,010 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes52c15,808$8,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,159.824337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c4,062$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.7168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No61c3,588$2,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,386.392,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c2,732$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.331,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.981625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No58c2,453$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c1,256$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.8632854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c1,038$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed No57c978.97$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes50c932.85$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.437045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No49c863.15$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.822545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Yes32c800$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes39c613.93$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4251139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed No59c530.1$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes48c496.79$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7630828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c459.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.1841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd0…7902backed No58c431.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No49c371.34$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.385158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Yes20c343.6$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes44c335.28$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.846155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes42c317.69$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0612350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Yes51c307.84$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1579154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No49c305.97$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.052055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3f…d6e2backed Yes53c235.12$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes51c223.26$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.863650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Yes52c215.16$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.881770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed No49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes40c199.51$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.696544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e72…8215backed No52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes33c187.38$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.849950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes41c185$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.593655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes37c174.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.983545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes51c169.32$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5519042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4ae…1b3dbacked No62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7234553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c141.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.426936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked No59c128.54$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked No49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed No48c106.4$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.052842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes50c106.06$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.031838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fe4…70c1backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No48c98.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0465254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453250%16 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No61c81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.555339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes26c73.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.195038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb371…472abacked Yes53c71.7$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes42c65.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3731958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes48c61.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No51c58.87$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Yes51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e45…b092backed Yes51c58.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes51c58.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.885843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0939…39cfbacked Yes45c57.45$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No48c57.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-58%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52250%11 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No64c49.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.548958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc97…7172backed Yes30c49.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes51c49.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf479…0fe3backed No80c48.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes50c44.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.156737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-62.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x157a…e4a3backed Yes53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209851%50 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…0b89backed Yes51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196550.8%33 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No57c35.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.152634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No49c33.87$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.373557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Yes51c32.47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes51c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.812842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb309…2f7dbacked No49c30.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd346…4c48backed Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5553…0167backed Yes50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Yes52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf0…092dbacked Yes51c28.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f57…770ebacked Yes51c28.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.682356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No49c27.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.276070%42 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Yes51c27.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed No62c22.51$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Yes50c22.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1880%0 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.85176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No55c18.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.492231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No60c17.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0411260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.