TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
AS Romaof AS Roma, ACF Fiorentina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,710
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,710 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed ACF Fiorentina69c14,142$9,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,781.712,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked AS Roma32c13,493$4,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,213.732842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed AS Roma40c6,207$2,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,722.734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed AS Roma31c4,082$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.586845.6%31 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed ACF Fiorentina68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed ACF Fiorentina69c2,427$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed ACF Fiorentina69c2,327$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.155158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked AS Roma34c2,144$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed AS Roma34c2,044$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.32944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed ACF Fiorentina68c2,015$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.1330828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed ACF Fiorentina66c1,901$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.2868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed ACF Fiorentina67c1,506$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked AS Roma46c1,463$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ACF Fiorentina67c1,444$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.7827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked AS Roma34c1,287$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked ACF Fiorentina66c1,255$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.4998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked ACF Fiorentina69c997.1$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed AS Roma33c882.96$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ACF Fiorentina66c739.2$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.873756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked ACF Fiorentina66c672$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.5212357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked ACF Fiorentina66c550$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3631838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked ACF Fiorentina69c512$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.282560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed AS Roma35c445.71$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2106…4c18backed AS Roma32c400$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked AS Roma31c371.35$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.234847.9%23 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed ACF Fiorentina69c312$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.2840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked ACF Fiorentina69c300$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed AS Roma34c294.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked AS Roma34c259$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+57.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked AS Roma33c259$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed ACF Fiorentina68c220$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.62250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked AS Roma33c216$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked AS Roma35c211.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.725623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed ACF Fiorentina68c203$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3965254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked ACF Fiorentina70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed ACF Fiorentina67c191.23$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.588958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed ACF Fiorentina43c172.76$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked AS Roma33c151$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed ACF Fiorentina68c148.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.691080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4e2…8421backed AS Roma34c145$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked ACF Fiorentina69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed ACF Fiorentina71c130.03$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.385339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed ACF Fiorentina69c125$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.25714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xde6e…43a2backed AS Roma34c119$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed AS Roma34c105.57$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.683666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked ACF Fiorentina69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed ACF Fiorentina67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked AS Roma31c99.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.992356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked AS Roma34c95.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked AS Roma32c93.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed AS Roma34c88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed AS Roma35c84$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f2…c7d7backed AS Roma34c81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed ACF Fiorentina69c80$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.21353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked AS Roma46c76.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.39728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa146…6163backed AS Roma33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed ACF Fiorentina66c59.4$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed AS Roma33c56$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+77.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd233…14f3backed AS Roma33c54$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed ACF Fiorentina69c53.96$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.23862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed AS Roma30c51.48$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.922842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed ACF Fiorentina70c47.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.321656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed ACF Fiorentina70c46.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed ACF Fiorentina69c45.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2211260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d98…c601backed AS Roma34c40.59$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+127.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f09…8ed2backed ACF Fiorentina69c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed8…5339backed ACF Fiorentina58c30.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed ACF Fiorentina68c28.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.491650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ACF Fiorentina68c27.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked AS Roma42c27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.666155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed ACF Fiorentina66c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked ACF Fiorentina70c24.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.022231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed ACF Fiorentina66c24$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.84540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed AS Roma55c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f2…fe8dbacked ACF Fiorentina65c18.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0720%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked ACF Fiorentina69c17.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed ACF Fiorentina68c14.88$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.