TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under72c5,075$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,653.734239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.086936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c3,329$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,850.532,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c2,656$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.241,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c1,495$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.3741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over46c1,275$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.1312350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under72c1,189$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.253571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under71c1,113$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7902857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Under38c1,058$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.891010%1 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-65%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over28c993.67$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.442770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under67c870.67$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over28c847.2$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.985158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over54c822.21$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over27c772.66$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.046737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under2c753$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over57c700.01$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3011060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Under79c632.91$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick79cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over27c588.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.964148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Over27c588.98$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.96728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under73c506.84$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9919042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under72c506.83$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.9232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under36c411.11$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1482045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under79c404.22$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.82887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Under66c370.55$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over28c358$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.764247.6%20 W · 22 L+7.8wins+0.19per pick29cpaid+82.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over43c342.26$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.7522545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e45…b092backed Over64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over34c312.49$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.2830828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under73c273.97$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under12c243.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.516155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over26c229.1$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.113050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under13c218.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.663655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under73c209.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.2922237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a08…882dbacked Under73c178.08$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over28c162.14$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.7427453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Under46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over35c142$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.331435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under68c139.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under64c139.22$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.12470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under75c130$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Over29c114.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.971770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over40c101.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2891043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over27c100.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.721747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over28c100.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under72c95.88$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over27c91.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4771backed Over31c90.97$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+83.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over29c87.8$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.565623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over28c85.98$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1865254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x149d…8d63backed Over29c79.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7403…b24abacked Under66c76.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.08771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under71c76.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.57045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.485339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under49c69.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.292536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under72c65$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.82025%5 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-48.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Over28c64.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over46c62.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over51c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.39450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over50c58.38$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.916544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over46c53.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaf3…2286backed Under73c48.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-73.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c39.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2140447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under71c37.6$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.72744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under71c33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.431782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under75c32.07$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under72c30.22$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7615354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Over36c29.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.191717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf20…8ae0backed Under73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under59c27.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.038958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.173545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under80c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb985…cf92backed Over64c23.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.491957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over58c21.15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.934940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d40…ba95backed Under69c16.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed Under75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Under72c14.52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick44cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.