TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5553…0167

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.72
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$22.5
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cincinnati Open: Michael Zheng vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.98
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.26
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.