Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d0db741632cf2f9e942f9c38f98b770bf10473a69d2a3aa7b8d19ce79235292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 13,058$6,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.98 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 11,234$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,298.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 7,240$3,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.84 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 4,781$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 4,518$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.35 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.95 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 3,975$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.59 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe557…85bcbacked No | 13c | 1,400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 44c | 1,097$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.89 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6040backed No | 15c | 999.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -76%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed No | 13c | 799.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 795.34$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.81 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 40c | 774.61$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.29 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 35c | 771.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.14 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 19c | 764.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd42d…621cbacked No | 17c | 750$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 15c | 700$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 50c | 682.41$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.15 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed No | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +525.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 591.05$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 21c | 574.82$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 52c | 569.35$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.29 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 415$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 48c | 407.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 69c | 404.04$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.31 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 48c | 398.15$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.11 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 394.68$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 391.64$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 386.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed No | 19c | 382.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 58c | 371.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.72 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa096…47d4backed Yes | 53c | 352.83$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.83 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 48c | 344$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…5a46backed Yes | 45c | 337.01$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 52c | 331.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 57c | 326$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 36c | 317$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 45c | 310.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 28c | 291.33$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.56 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 68c | 281$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 53c | 272.75$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 265$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 264.87$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 43c | 257.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 4cpaid | +547.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 31c | 225.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 31c | 219$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 22c | 217.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a30…9e38backed No | 47c | 212.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.85 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 53c | 209.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ef…f7c4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 322 | 54%174 W · 148 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 48c | 195.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 185.8$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.33 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…7bc8backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 53c | 184.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 39c | 182.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 219 | 39.3%86 W · 133 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…6fbbbacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 27c | 152.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 47c | 151.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 146.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.17 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 54c | 137.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 59c | 126$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0e…e5bcbacked No | 47c | 121.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 24c | 107$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 48c | 103.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 47c | 103.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…8045backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa91…7a06backed Yes | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5353…51b9backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…c834backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2c…898abacked No | 48c | 92.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…fabfbacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed No | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 50c | 87.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13b…87bdbacked Yes | 43c | 80.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 48c | 76.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.26 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?this page
- Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?No won
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.