Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f0b593ed691b6ab11f0c9f628d93033814ef68862a2a3e7f09a252df8c2375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 73c | 36,732$26,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,781.24 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 30,790$8,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,709.59 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 31c | 14,474$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.96 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 10,922$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.62 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 6,302$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.19 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 70c | 5,911$4,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.55 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 71c | 5,565$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,635.02 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked No | 63c | 5,019$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.88 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 72c | 4,881$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.14 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe823…2a61backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes | 30c | 2,900$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.57 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Yes | 17c | 2,138$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 25c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 26c | 1,887$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 9c | 1,150$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed Yes | 23c | 1,133$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.49 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 49c | 950$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.5 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Yes | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 12c | 758.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 26c | 640.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.33 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 27c | 634.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 553.3$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…c82abacked Yes | 17c | 519.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 9c | 509.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe629…7eabbacked Yes | 10c | 465.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…e8f1backed Yes | 7c | 440.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 76c | 426.49$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…86eabacked Yes | 16c | 406.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 404.04$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.01 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 75c | 380$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 371.11$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.07 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…4cf3backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 22c | 239.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 23c | 231.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…b631backed Yes | 26c | 210.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…8682backed Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 73c | 202$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…7239backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…0079backed Yes | 10c | 192.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 56c | 181$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 54c | 162.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 13c | 148.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 64c | 141.32$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 11c | 139.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…64a7backed Yes | 10c | 130.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x173d…7ff1backed Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…a691backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…ca66backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…b6afbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…6cb3backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 75c | 87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 14c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 75c | 77.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…3de3backed No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…f072backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…d398backed Yes | 26c | 54.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…653fbacked Yes | 24c | 53.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…8353backed Yes | 25c | 41.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 51c | 24.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…fd8dbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?this page
- Morocco to score first vs. Netherlands?No won
- Netherlands to score first vs. Morocco?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.