World Politics · resolved market
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb9cf7bbd8a94c3faa3a78108fbec9cda874b021c655d243054e8f3ebfe477be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 13c | 36,420$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.48 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 31c | 23,708$7,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,448.09 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…dbd5backed No | 26c | 20,918$5,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 70c | 14,668$10,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,467.09 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286a…8b9fbacked Yes | 71c | 10,943$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…43cabacked No | 41c | 7,359$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…b7e2backed Yes | 54c | 6,961$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…eb0abacked No | 12c | 5,341$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…a678backed No | 13c | 4,966$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +8.3wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +66%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae4…fc06backed Yes | 67c | 4,444$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c2…f9bcbacked Yes | 70c | 3,518$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…b44bbacked Yes | 66c | 3,457$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked No | 29c | 3,401$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.42 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 17c | 3,123$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.9 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 37c | 2,965$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.7 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked No | 28c | 2,755$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 32c | 2,740$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.1 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked No | 23c | 2,480$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac7…aabbbacked No | 33c | 2,415$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5e…5204backed No | 53c | 2,370$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed No | 35c | 2,340$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.26 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…c41abacked Yes | 57c | 2,322$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 11cpaid | +152.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 30c | 1,816$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…f6eabacked No | 48c | 1,729$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…3763backed Yes | 71c | 1,577$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97d…732bbacked No | 10c | 1,569$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed No | 27c | 1,562$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.41 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 30c | 1,524$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.95 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x904f…c686backed No | 21c | 1,419$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.02 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 34c | 1,408$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.19 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 28c | 1,399$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d8…85b1backed No | 32c | 1,362$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d4…6dddbacked Yes | 79c | 1,338$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.76 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,246$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.98 | 193 | 15.5%30 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 16c | 1,234$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.44 | 121 | 33.1%40 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 77c | 1,198$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…26a7backed No | 28c | 1,184$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254e…64cdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,181$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bf…80dabacked Yes | 71c | 1,169$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…aab5backed Yes | 67c | 1,024$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 55cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…af79backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…c878backed No | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 74c | 986$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…245ebacked Yes | 70c | 969.52$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…2baabacked Yes | 72c | 966.03$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 916.22$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.96 | 168 | 34.5%58 W · 110 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c7…3726backed No | 31c | 811.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.91 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 1c | 785.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked No | 23c | 770$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 23c | 752$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked No | 29c | 745.01$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…db61backed Yes | 66c | 741.87$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…d211backed No | 6c | 714.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 31c | 708.78$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.16 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 74c | 659.87$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.33 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 26c | 651$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 26c | 616$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…034dbacked Yes | 72c | 613.74$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked No | 53c | 611.11$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…e2a3backed Yes | 63c | 602.23$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c4…2c38backed Yes | 52c | 578.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked No | 24c | 576.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.78 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked No | 26c | 575$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +109%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 74c | 575$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…b781backed Yes | 66c | 575$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad6…cc62backed Yes | 75c | 570$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.8 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 20c | 557.91$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…fee8backed Yes | 56c | 553.66$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec3…823bbacked Yes | 41c | 553$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 72c | 542.06$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…c816backed Yes | 71c | 531.84$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…abc0backed Yes | 68c | 530.03$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 14c | 516.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Yes | 68c | 512.32$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.04 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 17c | 505$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…2723backed Yes | 52c | 503.37$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 10c | 500.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…c6d2backed Yes | 67c | 499.08$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb0…4aa6backed No | 50c | 490$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…1081backed No | 47c | 480.63$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea82…153abacked Yes | 69c | 465.1$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…33d1backed Yes | 66c | 461.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4853…1a45backed No | 24c | 461.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Yes | 68c | 454.79$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c02…d0bbbacked Yes | 55c | 451.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f94…35d2backed No | 7c | 442$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 17c | 441.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 422.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…62dcbacked Yes | 50c | 422.74$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…32a4backed Yes | 66c | 419.7$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 19c | 410.54$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32b…f35cbacked No | 54c | 402.83$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?this page
- Will Hungarian Two-Tailed Dog Party (Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt) (MKKP) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
- Will the Democratic Coalition (DK) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.