South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17bd35bd21a7e660b11223e730e62b4304a37af8053941808633f1771d6b0bbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 73c | 25,000$18,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 27c | 24,727$6,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,676.32 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 27c | 9,223$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.56 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 69c | 5,039$3,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.03 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 73c | 2,375$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.36 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 33c | 2,110$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.08 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 27c | 1,966$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.82 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 1,169$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 63c | 852.33$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.59 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 717$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 64cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 62c | 467.37$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 73c | 347.41$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 29c | 266.18$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 26c | 265.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 73c | 265.75$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 26c | 199.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 65c | 187.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed No | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 25c | 176.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 63c | 141.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 37c | 113.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…487dbacked Yes | 64c | 108.76$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 28c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Yes | 74c | 90.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…3ef7backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…4aafbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…f4f5backed Yes | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 66c | 58.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 35c | 51.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…7c29backed No | 27c | 45.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…e85dbacked Yes | 76c | 44.37$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8169…effbbacked Yes | 68c | 43.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef7…ae5cbacked Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 38c | 34.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 33.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 68c | 31.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ab…44dfbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0e…fec5backed Yes | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b97…2960backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…67bebacked Yes | 79c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd6…ac29backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…acc5backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…b3b5backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…8d94backed Yes | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…ec71backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 74c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd172…2b71backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will CR Flamengo vs. Santos FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.