Champions League · resolved market
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc80029a4353a93a5aa1f32ad7cc5b982c1814aab3e666c25988cd89e77cb06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf294…7967backed Yes | 4c | 6,593$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.23 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 5,442$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.02 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 4c | 4,860$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 4c | 4,682$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…a8dbbacked Yes | 4c | 4,665$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 3c | 3,312$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.26 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 4c | 3,225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed Yes | 2c | 3,172$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Yes | 5c | 3,145$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed Yes | 4c | 2,786$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 4c | 2,478$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Yes | 4c | 2,473$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…a3e3backed Yes | 1c | 2,096$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…8c81backed Yes | 5c | 2,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,861$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 4c | 1,624$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…a487backed Yes | 5c | 1,590$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 4c | 1,513$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…b8ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,370$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,251$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab6f…067bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 5c | 992$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 4c | 842$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 4c | 780$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Yes | 4c | 768$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f77…724bbacked Yes | 5c | 767.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Yes | 4c | 725.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 4c | 725$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 4c | 669.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Yes | 3c | 661.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…b92abacked Yes | 2c | 644.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b37…c9eabacked Yes | 5c | 562.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 4c | 539.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…0490backed Yes | 5c | 529.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…1050backed Yes | 5c | 515.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 4c | 515.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…dd7ebacked Yes | 4c | 511.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…16b0backed Yes | 4c | 504.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3875…1fd2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b51…da79backed Yes | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…464dbacked Yes | 4c | 459.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a1…fd6bbacked Yes | 5c | 425.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…1220backed Yes | 4c | 414.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 4c | 412.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312e…69b5backed Yes | 4c | 401.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 5c | 400.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 375.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…30f1backed Yes | 5c | 310.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 4c | 304.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…4d7fbacked Yes | 4c | 303.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…510ebacked Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5c2ebacked Yes | 5c | 298.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…f771backed Yes | 5c | 273.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…2315backed Yes | 4c | 263.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9c…0aa3backed Yes | 4c | 252.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…6696backed Yes | 4c | 251.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 4c | 251.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 4c | 227.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4287…3d5ebacked Yes | 4c | 224.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…25eebacked Yes | 5c | 209.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…2134backed Yes | 6c | 183.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.