Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d4c30633cdbb2c9345e5980988b6282e21596ae5d68fb1565a7037ccc5d3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 8c | 2,700$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…8093backed Yes | 9c | 2,352$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 9c | 1,127$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…a487backed Yes | 8c | 939.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 8c | 938.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 664.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 8c | 626.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +162.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 8c | 614.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Yes | 8c | 503.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…a83cbacked Yes | 9c | 500.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 7c | 487.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 6c | 470$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 10c | 400.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5c2ebacked Yes | 10c | 384.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 8c | 366.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…0ababacked Yes | 9c | 366.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…3e25backed Yes | 8c | 350$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 8c | 336.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Yes | 8c | 322.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 319.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ca…f5a0backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…b088backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7042…b1b4backed Yes | 8c | 280$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…0490backed Yes | 10c | 251.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…373ebacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes | 8c | 239.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 9c | 233.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…35dfbacked Yes | 8c | 220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6599…5671backed Yes | 10c | 212.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 9c | 209.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 10c | 205.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…dd7ebacked Yes | 10c | 200.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf47…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 195.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…31b1backed Yes | 10c | 180.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…cbc3backed Yes | 10c | 178.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 8c | 172.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 9c | 167.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc855…1994backed Yes | 11c | 165.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1a…20c3backed Yes | 8c | 164.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…ff27backed Yes | 10c | 163.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a7…ade3backed Yes | 10c | 161.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…566ebacked Yes | 10c | 161.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…30f1backed Yes | 10c | 151.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9d…1bcebacked Yes | 9c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6c…1afdbacked Yes | 8c | 150$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f66…ae50backed Yes | 10c | 132.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…6755backed Yes | 10c | 132.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…f2acbacked Yes | 8c | 129.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…1748backed Yes | 10c | 127.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…4943backed Yes | 10c | 126.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…2d0fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27dd…2cd8backed Yes | 9c | 125$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed0…23edbacked Yes | 10c | 124.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…b7d1backed Yes | 10c | 123.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…7d11backed Yes | 10c | 113.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…b647backed Yes | 10c | 111.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?Yes won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.