Champions League · resolved market
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774e5d9e03a3496e6d04bfc2b32a52019da8662e785531b5cba39a31b196fad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $221,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 10c | 25,145$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 12c | 25,098$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.66 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 9c | 16,485$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.06 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 11c | 11,223$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 293 | 50.5%148 W · 145 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 12c | 7,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 17c | 6,550$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.04 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 12c | 5,700$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 4,419$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 13c | 3,564$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.91 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 3,050$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.99 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 2c | 2,564$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked No | 12c | 2,020$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 12c | 1,938$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.41 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 12c | 1,810$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 13c | 1,798$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.09 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…63c1backed No | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…e3a9backed No | 12c | 1,580$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 12c | 1,550$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 1,166$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 5c | 1,100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 11c | 968.56$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.07 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 12c | 646.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.57 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 10c | 617$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 5c | 576.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…05d1backed No | 2c | 475$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 12c | 447.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 13c | 435$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.22 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked No | 12c | 430.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 12c | 415$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 13c | 378.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 5c | 374.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 14c | 365.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 13c | 327.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 17c | 242.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…3addbacked No | 12c | 225$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 215$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…336bbacked No | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 207.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 11c | 192.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 7c | 166$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 11c | 161.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8324…57fdbacked No | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 183 | 34.4%63 W · 120 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 147$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 13c | 146$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…819bbacked No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 11c | 136$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed No | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 113.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 13c | 100.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc6…2980backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed No | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed No | 12c | 86.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Liverpool FC vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?No won
- Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.