Fifa International · resolved market
Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x507a0daeb27437d796944d75fab1ac0dd400c06a1fd7689a3be27030b714e760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 46c | 7,707$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,178.05 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 42c | 5,653$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.3 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 57c | 5,066$2,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.64 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 4,336$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 58c | 3,459$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 33c | 2,330$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.46 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 56c | 2,292$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.73 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 46c | 2,281$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.56 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Yes | 58c | 1,714$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 54c | 1,560$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.4 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,506$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 55c | 1,373$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,347$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.98 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 62c | 1,141$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.3 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 43c | 1,103$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 69c | 1,050$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.46 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Yes | 56c | 884.98$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 52c | 879.02$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1952…c5c8backed Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 777$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.9 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 54c | 734.01$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 46c | 676.98$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.57 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…43e6backed Yes | 55c | 587.87$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…373ebacked Yes | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…60b8backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…08b9backed Yes | 54c | 367.72$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 53c | 365$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.37 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 51c | 349.38$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.04 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Yes | 53c | 327.04$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6a…d6aebacked Yes | 56c | 321.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 57c | 315.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 46c | 280$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 45c | 210$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…9fb2backed Yes | 54c | 209.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 54c | 203.5$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes | 46c | 193.48$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…30babacked Yes | 57c | 187.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68c…779dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992e…245fbacked Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…7f73backed Yes | 57c | 168.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 41c | 166.1$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 55c | 163.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 61c | 154.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.51 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79a7…88c8backed Yes | 62c | 151.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda8…a833backed Yes | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce9…3717backed Yes | 58c | 146.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 58c | 125.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 50c | 124$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 45c | 103.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 57c | 100.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…5ab8backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 54c | 96.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 123 | 27.6%34 W · 89 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 54c | 92.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f0…b2efbacked Yes | 49c | 89.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…8d38backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 65cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…4d7abacked Yes | 58c | 76.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…2078backed Yes | 53c | 74.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…ffccbacked Yes | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 47c | 73.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 57c | 70.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…ab0dbacked Yes | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 46c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 57c | 64.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…8e79backed Yes | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…ee33backed Yes | 41c | 63.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 57c | 58.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 64cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b76…18a6backed Yes | 49c | 57.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
- Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.