Fifa International · resolved market
Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e4f0f09e18eca0c49dbe2cf1dfb4737e4693a4e383c1f5a29187aa2e6389228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 26c | 57,670$14,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,993.02 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 24,630$18,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,403.85 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 12,710$9,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,304.55 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 74c | 8,500$6,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.75 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f7…f247backed No | 75c | 4,211$3,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 13c | 3,861$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.32 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 2,896$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.64 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,846$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.83 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ff…f283backed No | 76c | 2,805$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 74c | 2,276$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.79 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfe…b875backed No | 75c | 1,404$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 74c | 946$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.96 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 12c | 888$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 74c | 878.38$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.38 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…7800backed No | 74c | 809.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…1423backed No | 74c | 590.63$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 563.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.77 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 551.14$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.69 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 25c | 509.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed No | 75c | 424$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 59c | 304.53$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 50c | 210.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 22c | 185.22$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc4…a6a9backed Yes | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 22c | 95.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…5575backed Yes | 40c | 75.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 70c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 76c | 69.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed No | 63c | 63.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…34d1backed Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…5eb3backed Yes | 26c | 52.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 21c | 48.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 46.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…c24ebacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 131 | 25.2%33 W · 98 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 68c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5242…5a2cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…9f1ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?this page
- Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?No won
- Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.