Fifa International · resolved market
Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e624e323d23fc512245014103a13fe9c41c14bb183f21eb3bd7404569be2e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 18c | 10,420$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,544.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 22c | 3,635$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,835.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +140.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 78c | 3,339$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.53 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.2 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 78c | 2,889$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.56 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 50c | 2,580$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.07 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 78c | 2,548$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.44 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 19c | 2,500$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.99 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 24c | 2,136$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.51 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,245$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.68 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 1,063$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.74 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 19c | 1,009$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.65 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 7c | 638$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.5 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 78c | 598.75$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.03 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 21c | 591.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.15 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…9ea8backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Yes | 22c | 510$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 20c | 501.72$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.03 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fee…659fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 78c | 360$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 21c | 339.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.56 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 333$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 80c | 294.63$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…626bbacked Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 78c | 256$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.68 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x346f…2e3fbacked Yes | 22c | 222.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 212.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.08 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 20c | 200$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 175$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…7a51backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3165…6073backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…bd3ebacked Yes | 16c | 138.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +302.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa358…65b2backed Yes | 13c | 133.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +640.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…7aadbacked No | 80c | 125.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 76cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 22c | 118.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.18 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca91…1907backed Yes | 20c | 110.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…f80abacked Yes | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +200%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…e46fbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…a0bdbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…03c0backed Yes | 17c | 86.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 13cpaid | +398.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…6f2ebacked Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…1eb4backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…238ebacked Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +252.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…a857backed No | 80c | 64.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…d58abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa6…df14backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dff…bc36backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5eb…a613backed No | 80c | 12.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Romania win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Austria win on 2025-10-12?No won
- Will Romania vs. Austria end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.