Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07d28bcaec217541bf2bf2ab2a002e0e24fb4b93cfbb55865d5e57e7573d12ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Elon Phoenixof Elon Phoenix, William & Mary Tribe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed William & Mary Tribe | 51c | 3,902$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed William & Mary Tribe | 67c | 2,427$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.21 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Elon Phoenix | 41c | 2,073$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Elon Phoenix | 77c | 2,050$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.11 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Elon Phoenix | 46c | 2,008$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.3 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elon Phoenix | 57c | 1,920$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.24 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Elon Phoenix | 52c | 1,917$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Elon Phoenix | 35c | 1,103$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 1,100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 1,010$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.49 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked William & Mary Tribe | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed William & Mary Tribe | 58c | 905$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…05c1backed William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 900$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…191bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 900$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elon Phoenix | 56c | 846.64$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Elon Phoenix | 29c | 842.19$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 800$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked William & Mary Tribe | 76c | 732.54$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed William & Mary Tribe | 54c | 670.66$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.75 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked William & Mary Tribe | 44c | 665.84$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 600$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed William & Mary Tribe | 48c | 591$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.8 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 432.76$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 428.12$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.53 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff25…960cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 8c | 399.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 7cpaid | +303.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Elon Phoenix | 46c | 379.93$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…7b41backed Elon Phoenix | 57c | 357.58$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.95 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed William & Mary Tribe | 8c | 357.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed William & Mary Tribe | 31c | 320.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked William & Mary Tribe | 60c | 320$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed William & Mary Tribe | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…94fabacked William & Mary Tribe | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed William & Mary Tribe | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed William & Mary Tribe | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked William & Mary Tribe | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…f0dabacked Elon Phoenix | 57c | 260$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elon Phoenix | 48c | 256.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Elon Phoenix | 32c | 237$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elon Phoenix | 42c | 234.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed William & Mary Tribe | 75c | 224.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 75cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed William & Mary Tribe | 64c | 210$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Elon Phoenix | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed William & Mary Tribe | 52c | 193.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed William & Mary Tribe | 57c | 157.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.43 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked Elon Phoenix | 24c | 154.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed William & Mary Tribe | 74c | 139.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.82 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed Elon Phoenix | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Elon Phoenix | 29c | 130$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.65 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed William & Mary Tribe | 39c | 113.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Elon Phoenix | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Elon Phoenix | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05aa…aca6backed William & Mary Tribe | 51c | 98.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked William & Mary Tribe | 73c | 76.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed William & Mary Tribe | 62c | 75.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Elon Phoenix | 53c | 75.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Elon Phoenix | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 65.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Elon Phoenix | 36c | 63.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elon Phoenix | 39c | 57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Elon Phoenix | 43c | 54.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked William & Mary Tribe | 76c | 53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f8b4backed Elon Phoenix | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked William & Mary Tribe | 48c | 42.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked William & Mary Tribe | 78c | 42.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked William & Mary Tribe | 61c | 41.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elon Phoenix | 29c | 41.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x306c…51f2backed William & Mary Tribe | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Elon Phoenix | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Elon Phoenix | 48c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Elon Phoenix | 52c | 35.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Elon Phoenix | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Elon Phoenix | 46c | 31.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked William & Mary Tribe | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Elon Phoenix | 54c | 24.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Elon Phoenix | 59c | 23.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed William & Mary Tribe | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribethis page
- Spread: William & Mary Tribe (-8.5)Elon Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.