La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1020fbd15cd0976cf7b4822a939e214317047ab106a220ddfc64b552aac3b9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 57c | 34,000$19,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,455.87 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 4,261$3,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.74 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 3,222$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.6 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 2,650$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.5 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 52c | 1,365$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Yes | 43c | 1,162$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.15 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 26c | 963.1$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.03 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 53c | 910.04$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.32 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 791.37$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.21 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 53c | 743.26$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.5 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…b40dbacked Yes | 77c | 412.46$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Yes | 46c | 364.15$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 24c | 269.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 6c | 257.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 33c | 251.29$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…9f98backed Yes | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Yes | 77c | 228.57$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 54c | 224.12$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 55c | 201$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 192.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 77c | 143.91$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 24c | 138.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 132.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 54c | 119.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 55c | 106.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 39c | 103.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…c3a6backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…7c8fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +140.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 77c | 83.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 74c | 77.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…6221backed Yes | 31c | 68.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +95%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee5…5167backed Yes | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 47c | 51.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 25c | 51.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…1c3dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…642bbacked Yes | 74c | 40.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6939backed No | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed No | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Yes | 46c | 34.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed No | 56c | 34.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…0c62backed No | 52c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…1302backed Yes | 77c | 27.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…ca46backed Yes | 47c | 27.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0672…d572backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Yes | 80c | 25.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 55c | 18.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd0…0094backed Yes | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…5cc1backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-11?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-01-11?No won
- Will Málaga CF vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.