NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c40f469c44590c2fa7b73fbbba86c05f91d8003503ac8d5c9eace02137d6709
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Ducks, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 884 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3168…ea4abacked Ducks | 0c | 87,910$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Ducks | 43c | 20,773$8,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,932.55 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Ducks | 43c | 11,336$4,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.78 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab0c…3026backed Ducks | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 58c | 8,896$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,736.32 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Flyers | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Ducks | 1c | 7,337$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flyers | 58c | 6,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Ducks | 43c | 5,682$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.37 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Flyers | 57c | 5,450$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.61 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…2f65backed Flyers | 58c | 5,077$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 58c | 5,037$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.2 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…b5dabacked Ducks | 42c | 5,034$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flyers | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Ducks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.97 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc966…bac9backed Ducks | 41c | 4,963$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,034.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a5…b310backed Flyers | 58c | 4,920$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Flyers | 57c | 4,602$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.42 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Ducks | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Flyers | 57c | 3,869$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.67 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Ducks | 0c | 3,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc198…6d2cbacked Flyers | 58c | 3,448$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 68c | 3,381$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.03 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flyers | 71c | 3,161$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.81 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Flyers | 57c | 3,086$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.13 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Ducks | 42c | 3,073$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.83 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Flyers | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Ducks | 63c | 2,817$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.56 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Ducks | 27c | 2,403$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.53 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ducks | 42c | 2,377$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.78 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Ducks | 32c | 2,363$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.2 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d13…d7b4backed Flyers | 58c | 2,300$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Flyers | 57c | 2,112$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…99cfbacked Ducks | 42c | 2,100$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc526…bf92backed Ducks | 7c | 2,081$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ducks | 42c | 2,072$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.89 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Ducks | 7c | 2,032$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Flyers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.01 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Flyers | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Ducks | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,900$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.99 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flyers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Ducks | 30c | 1,716$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.53 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Flyers | 58c | 1,702$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Ducks | 42c | 1,667$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Ducks | 9c | 1,625$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f491backed Flyers | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa31…c537backed Ducks | 42c | 1,600$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe386…bfa5backed Ducks | 43c | 1,484$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ducks | 50c | 1,483$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.83 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Flyers | 57c | 1,452$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.55 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ducks | 42c | 1,442$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…f1eabacked Ducks | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Ducks | 58c | 1,384$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Ducks | 19c | 1,382$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.55 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Ducks | 42c | 1,333$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 22c | 1,238$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a24…867bbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb368…75ecbacked Flyers | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec7…3178backed Flyers | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2af…30a7backed Flyers | 58c | 1,200$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…0691backed Ducks | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…cc4abacked Ducks | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…b865backed Flyers | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…7198backed Ducks | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9add…6095backed Ducks | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb9…85c0backed Flyers | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…a80abacked Flyers | 58c | 1,195$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…9daabacked Ducks | 42c | 1,195$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ducks | 4c | 1,192$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0f…08febacked Ducks | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec9…515cbacked Flyers | 58c | 1,190$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Flyers | 57c | 1,190$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…7e51backed Flyers | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab11…2ae7backed Ducks | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe902…ac23backed Ducks | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…0785backed Flyers | 58c | 1,185$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d89…030dbacked Ducks | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4b…fbc2backed Ducks | 42c | 1,180$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…1197backed Flyers | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe661…c653backed Flyers | 58c | 1,180$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…56b0backed Ducks | 42c | 1,175$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…bd53backed Flyers | 58c | 1,175$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Ducks | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.1 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…3696backed Ducks | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…25d3backed Flyers | 58c | 1,170$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…f690backed Flyers | 58c | 1,170$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749a…3e76backed Ducks | 42c | 1,170$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…047abacked Ducks | 42c | 1,165$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…ab18backed Flyers | 58c | 1,165$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…d968backed Ducks | 42c | 1,165$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f94…319ebacked Flyers | 58c | 1,165$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…600fbacked Flyers | 58c | 1,160$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…3c4bbacked Flyers | 58c | 1,160$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…0167backed Ducks | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…1f82backed Flyers | 58c | 1,160$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb567…4dd7backed Ducks | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a9…9be5backed Ducks | 42c | 1,160$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…9cfdbacked Flyers | 58c | 1,155$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Flyersthis page
- Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Ducks vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.