Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia Southern Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af2e68379f4026f828e898c8952a1cb3df0398d6a4820d803981fffa832a1d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas State Red Wolvesof Arkansas State Red Wolves, Georgia Southern Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 64c | 1,023$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.93 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 52c | 795.12$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.66 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 48c | 502.46$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.99 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 48c | 475$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 54c | 457.9$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 34c | 400$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 34c | 378$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 17c | 308.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 276.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 257$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 38c | 199.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 26c | 187.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a5…bb04backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 44c | 107.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 45c | 96.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 53c | 95.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 64c | 88.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 82.87$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 76.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 39c | 75.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…888cbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 51.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…8c27backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 44c | 49.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…af63backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 46c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 45c | 37.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…b307backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 41c | 36.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 50c | 33.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 37c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…4d28backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 65c | 30.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed3ebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fec…1c3fbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 54c | 25.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f3…8da0backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 46c | 25.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…8d4bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…6e5bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia Southern Eaglesthis page
- Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Georgia Southern Eagles: O/U 174.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.