Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e6e1f8854c567e004d61be8347ec3884d3d06b32f94100440f23062abb62ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensof Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens, Missouri State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 69c | 3,999$2,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Missouri State Bears | 26c | 3,428$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.76 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 61c | 3,014$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.12 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Missouri State Bears | 5c | 2,876$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.59 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 53c | 1,801$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.21 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Missouri State Bears | 2c | 1,449$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 1,327$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.76 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 67c | 1,322$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.37 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Missouri State Bears | 27c | 915.01$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.7 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Missouri State Bears | 51c | 694.48$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.08 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Missouri State Bears | 77c | 653$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.5 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 645.92$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 423.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 67c | 377$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.04 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 45c | 357.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Missouri State Bears | 43c | 351.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 313.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Missouri State Bears | 27c | 303$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Missouri State Bears | 56c | 300.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.56 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f0c4backed Missouri State Bears | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 60c | 279.11$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.98 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 55c | 266.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 50c | 227.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Missouri State Bears | 45c | 222.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…15afbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 78c | 217.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0117backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 76c | 208.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Missouri State Bears | 77c | 174$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.98 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d48…eca0backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri State Bears | 35c | 159.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.34 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Missouri State Bears | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…82a8backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 23c | 108.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Missouri State Bears | 77c | 91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 21c | 78.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Missouri State Bears | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 20c | 71.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri State Bears | 32c | 69.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 42c | 64.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Missouri State Bears | 79c | 57.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Missouri State Bears | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Missouri State Bears | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Missouri State Bears | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 68c | 47.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd842…6484backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 66c | 45.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec3…4db1backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 51c | 39.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf79…850bbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 39.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Missouri State Bears | 53c | 38.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Missouri State Bears | 43c | 34.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Missouri State Bears | 50c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Missouri State Bears | 32c | 31.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 58c | 30.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a972backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Missouri State Bears | 55c | 25.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Missouri State Bears | 77c | 24.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens | 69c | 16.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Missouri State Bears | 74c | 15.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bearsthis page
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 134.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.