Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf11b59b57fea40e972518bb25249f4f7e2fa9f6c53997af4e937a716876230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 17,120$9,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,957.72 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 16,499$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 10,095$4,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,694.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 56c | 6,200$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 52c | 3,750$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 315$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Under | 43c | 230.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 215$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 57c | 189.37$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Over | 50c | 185.23$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked Over | 57c | 175.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 43c | 166.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 164.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 51c | 110.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 89.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 85.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Over | 52c | 75.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Under | 72c | 69.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Under | 49c | 46.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 55c | 20.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bears: O/U 134.5this page
- Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State BearsDelaware Fightin' Blue Hens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.