College Football · resolved market
Temple vs. Tulsa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40de32bd9e228ba18fa637bc4a707cd8ab82855ded8bad999025ab6539618945
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Templeof Temple, Tulsa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tulsa | 34c | 35,612$11,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,939.97 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Temple | 66c | 32,311$21,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,942.58 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Temple | 54c | 5,553$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.73 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Tulsa | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Temple | 65c | 4,920$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Tulsa | 35c | 4,896$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.56 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Temple | 64c | 4,240$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Tulsa | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Tulsa | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Temple | 66c | 1,337$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.53 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Temple | 64c | 1,265$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.32 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Temple | 64c | 874$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Tulsa | 46c | 674.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.88 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tulsa | 27c | 551.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Temple | 68c | 523.36$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tulsa | 37c | 509.49$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.23 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Temple | 60c | 504.95$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Temple | 65c | 498.57$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Temple | 66c | 491$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Temple | 59c | 461.43$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.86 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Temple | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Tulsa | 51c | 392.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Temple | 80c | 290$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tulsa | 7c | 162.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Temple | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tulsa | 36c | 129.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Tulsa | 46c | 109.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Tulsa | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Tulsa | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…8ab3backed Temple | 66c | 92.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Temple | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Temple | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tulsa | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Tulsa | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Tulsa | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tulsa | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Temple | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked Tulsa | 40c | 45.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Temple | 74c | 44.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Tulsa | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Tulsa | 35c | 36.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Temple | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401c…70e3backed Temple | 52c | 31.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Temple | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Temple | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Temple | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…ec98backed Temple | 68c | 26.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…923bbacked Temple | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…d998backed Temple | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b38…5c08backed Tulsa | 54c | 18.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad62…32ffbacked Temple | 65c | 16.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Temple vs. Tulsathis page
- O/U 53.5Over won
- Temple vs. Tulsa: O/U 54.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.