Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x470bf801b0fef37bdbb49b87e6d308b277d18ded597fa906c4894c11691a278f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 1,266$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.03 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 44c | 836.62$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.48 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 41c | 817.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 30c | 597$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 69c | 540.16$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 41c | 480.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.69 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 459.47$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.08 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.35 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 35c | 377.44$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…bce7backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 320$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…d504backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a37…72e6backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 57c | 310$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2183…2d92backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 310$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9603…5108backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 305$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e29…1311backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 302$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2f…40e8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…61cdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 295$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 58c | 276.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 65c | 249.97$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 126 | 17.5%22 W · 104 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 244.48$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 42c | 224.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 38c | 221.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 49c | 204.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 32c | 197.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 33c | 173.73$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 53c | 165.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 58c | 154.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.25 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 36c | 127$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 64c | 117.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 110.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 15c | 101.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 97.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 85.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 72c | 85.69$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 40c | 83.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 62c | 79.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 37c | 72.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 51c | 58.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 45.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…193cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 79c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…3079backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 41c | 25.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e99…611dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…569cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 80c | 24.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…23fabacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 59c | 22.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…851fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 60c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eaglesthis page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 132.5Under won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Niagara Purple Eagles: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.