Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a44f00e50f73706f8fc0b04092cbab0205cdeabffa7e729b9410a548c6d8a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Pasika UA, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ad…69ccbacked Pasika UA | 1c | 4,478$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Pasika UA | 7c | 4,040$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 3,243$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.84 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 2,133$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.05 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…3487backed Pasika UA | 1c | 2,060$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pasika UA | 50c | 985.26$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pasika UA | 33c | 949.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…e6dfbacked Pasika UA | 45c | 819.99$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.2 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Pasika UA | 46c | 600$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Pasika UA | 50c | 553.22$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.61 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed Zero Tenacity | 78c | 552.11$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Pasika UA | 56c | 390.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.77 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…e5afbacked Pasika UA | 33c | 350.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Pasika UA | 13c | 340.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pasika UA | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Pasika UA | 22c | 299.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Pasika UA | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Zero Tenacity | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pasika UA | 54c | 241.52$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…9562backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 230.31$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Zero Tenacity | 46c | 209.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Pasika UA | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Pasika UA | 47c | 197.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d3…9f1bbacked Zero Tenacity | 43c | 194.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Zero Tenacity | 62c | 192.36$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Pasika UA | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Pasika UA | 23c | 180.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Pasika UA | 57c | 175.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 168.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…2722backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 162.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pasika UA | 46c | 152.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 152.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pasika UA | 49c | 151.64$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 151.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Pasika UA | 32c | 149.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 127.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 126.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pasika UA | 26c | 119.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Zero Tenacity | 77c | 117.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Pasika UA | 39c | 107.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Pasika UA | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…9f9bbacked Pasika UA | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…9a48backed Pasika UA | 45c | 84.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 69.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Zero Tenacity | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Pasika UA | 22c | 64.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Pasika UA | 33c | 61.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Pasika UA | 52c | 58.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Pasika UA | 32c | 50.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Zero Tenacity | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…2f37backed Zero Tenacity | 68c | 46.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.9wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…4c5abacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 44.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 94 | 78.7%74 W · 20 L | +13.0wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pasika UA | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b18…786ebacked Pasika UA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed Zero Tenacity | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 35.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Pasika UA | 49c | 34.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…539cbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 31.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Pasika UA | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…e6ffbacked Zero Tenacity | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Pasika UA | 50c | 23.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +177.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…3b34backed Pasika UA | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26b…f56cbacked Zero Tenacity | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeba…3d1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.