Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3a452252629d512116aec35e886fae3082ef14b610a50ca9fc3f600d634ca85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Pasika UA, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 1,147$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.29 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 899.99$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Pasika UA | 60c | 830$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zero Tenacity | 19c | 653.56$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.14 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pasika UA | 69c | 600$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…e7d1backed Zero Tenacity | 19c | 568.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pasika UA | 43c | 238.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Pasika UA | 25c | 158.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Pasika UA | 42c | 113.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +177.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Pasika UA | 29c | 93.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 93.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.27 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Zero Tenacity | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Pasika UA | 67c | 17.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Zero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.