Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859ba3eedf825d1c6bdc20dac4634930a0c08978015d51c181d8ab590feee1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Pasika UA, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2615…6c59backed Pasika UA | 3c | 2,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 1,410$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…e7d1backed Pasika UA | 50c | 890$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pasika UA | 15c | 415.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Pasika UA | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Pasika UA | 9c | 308.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4499…d102backed Pasika UA | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…2943backed Pasika UA | 49c | 192.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 174.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Pasika UA | 19c | 149.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Pasika UA | 58c | 139.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 102.9$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Zero Tenacity | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pasika UA | 28c | 73.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Zero Tenacity | 64c | 62.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Pasika UA | 51c | 49.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Zero Tenacity | 52c | 39.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 75c | 39.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Pasika UA | 28c | 37.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3)Zero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Pasika UA vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.