NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x940e3bb0526e2f9334fd2b8b13efc971138d6c755923096e648d55dc68b398d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Canucks, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $766,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Canucks | 33c | 553,702$182,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182,721.69 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Senators | 67c | 202,779$135,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,917.08 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Senators | 67c | 151,515$101,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Senators | 68c | 83,052$56,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,987.02 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Senators | 67c | 62,165$41,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,507.72 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Senators | 67c | 35,133$23,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,593.85 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Senators | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,199.89 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canucks | 32c | 15,948$5,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100.91 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Canucks | 32c | 15,625$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Senators | 67c | 15,435$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.55 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Canucks | 34c | 14,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canucks | 32c | 12,943$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.9 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 67c | 7,039$4,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.87 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Canucks | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Canucks | 10c | 7,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Senators | 68c | 6,882$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.24 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Senators | 67c | 6,612$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.04 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Senators | 67c | 6,480$4,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.37 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Canucks | 32c | 6,448$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.27 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Canucks | 34c | 6,235$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Senators | 67c | 6,006$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.97 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Canucks | 25c | 5,013$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.2 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Senators | 67c | 4,618$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.98 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Senators | 72c | 4,518$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.41 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Canucks | 13c | 4,312$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.34 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canucks | 32c | 4,277$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.68 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Canucks | 26c | 4,275$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Senators | 68c | 3,606$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Senators | 68c | 3,589$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Canucks | 33c | 3,225$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.18 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Canucks | 8c | 3,182$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Senators | 67c | 3,150$2,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Canucks | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canucks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Canucks | 33c | 2,270$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.1 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Senators | 67c | 2,200$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Senators | 67c | 2,182$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.09 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Canucks | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 67c | 1,770$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Canucks | 1c | 1,666$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Canucks | 32c | 1,565$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Senators | 67c | 1,536$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.71 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Canucks | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Canucks | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Senators | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Senators | 68c | 1,477$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.56 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canucks | 10c | 1,475$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.78 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Canucks | 32c | 1,463$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.24 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Senators | 68c | 1,437$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.84 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Canucks | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Canucks | 33c | 1,300$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.38 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Senators | 67c | 1,284$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Senators | 67c | 1,224$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.88 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc0…9ed1backed Senators | 67c | 1,155$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.22 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Senators | 67c | 1,133$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Senators | 67c | 1,115$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.06 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Canucks | 1c | 1,098$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Senators | 68c | 1,032$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.33 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canucks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Senators | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Canucks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Senators | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.12 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Canucks | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Canucks | 11c | 999.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Senators | 68c | 969.15$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Senators | 68c | 949.95$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.25 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked Canucks | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Senators | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…caa4backed Canucks | 33c | 878.79$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 18c | 828.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Canucks | 33c | 804.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.51 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf96…62dcbacked Canucks | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Canucks | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canucks | 32c | 750$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Canucks | 32c | 618.81$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Senators | 67c | 608.96$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Canucks | 33c | 600$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Canucks | 34c | 592.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canucks | 6c | 557.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Canucks | 14c | 532.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…1068backed Canucks | 9c | 514.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Canucks | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…beb1backed Senators | 67c | 499.94$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Canucks | 33c | 482.8$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.32 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Canucks | 16c | 467.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Senators | 68c | 461.08$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…cd50backed Senators | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…9a18backed Senators | 68c | 438.74$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Senators | 68c | 425.4$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Canucks | 33c | 424.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…1242backed Canucks | 8c | 417.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Canucks | 7c | 400.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Canucks | 33c | 400$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Senators | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Senators | 67c | 394.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Senators | 77c | 387.79$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Canucks | 34c | 382.35$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Senators | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Senatorsthis page
- Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.