NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb58b82f2951962df91da1d65594c6a3bc2c85e9ee791fabf7e6421285fb00d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Senators, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf699…14adbacked Canucks | 53c | 15,749$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,401.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Senators | 47c | 3,211$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Senators | 47c | 2,339$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…d3ebbacked Senators | 47c | 2,233$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…04e7backed Senators | 47c | 2,144$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…a686backed Senators | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.22 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…7cf1backed Senators | 47c | 2,126$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Senators | 5c | 1,600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…ef69backed Senators | 47c | 1,435$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Canucks | 53c | 1,403$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0323…77e4backed Senators | 47c | 1,164$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canucks | 53c | 1,075$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…aa98backed Senators | 46c | 970$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Senators | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…aa82backed Senators | 47c | 793.48$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canucks | 54c | 748$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.08 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Senators | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…4576backed Senators | 47c | 689.55$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +86%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Canucks | 63c | 428.12$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…b4e8backed Canucks | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Senators | 14c | 340.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Senators | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41b…3295backed Canucks | 54c | 290$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123b…ac41backed Canucks | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 45c | 187.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Senators | 45c | 182.24$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.01 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Canucks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Canucks | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…e19fbacked Canucks | 55c | 110$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Senators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Canucks | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Senators | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Senators | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Senators | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | -14.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Senators | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Canucks | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7848…5f80backed Senators | 47c | 40.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 276 | 52.9%146 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…72c5backed Canucks | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…4c77backed Senators | 48c | 33.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Canucks | 53c | 33.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Senators | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Senators | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Senators | 47c | 27.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Canucks | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.