NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a75dd877bfc6da02f081db3447321c3fb8e7390d1a9cd0c10fcdc5dc15dd6bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 8,473$4,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 4,187$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.5 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.98 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Under | 51c | 3,120$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.8 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 2,909$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.86 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 2,316$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 2,001$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…d640backed Over | 49c | 1,857$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 817.38$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.14 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 799.25$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.63 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Under | 54c | 555.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 50c | 444$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 51c | 252$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.29 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 51c | 197.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 49c | 191.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked Under | 61c | 159$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Over | 50c | 146.42$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 39c | 119.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 51c | 117.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 95.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 50c | 93.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 50c | 77.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 49c | 76.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 66.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 71c | 56.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 71c | 54.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 52.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 128 | 26.6%34 W · 94 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 62c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 34.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 308 | 59.4%183 W · 125 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Canucks vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.