Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x604689401db161a0b880744334f21fd1ce170252a2fd8d56bb104e43d862addb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gironof Giron, Michelsen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd289…079fbacked Giron | 51c | 12,754$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.12 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Michelsen | 23c | 10,933$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.82 | 365 | 54.2%198 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Giron | 45c | 9,365$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.12 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Giron | 49c | 7,057$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.68 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Giron | 50c | 7,056$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,556.27 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Michelsen | 51c | 6,902$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.8 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Michelsen | 48c | 5,877$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.3 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…d2f4backed Michelsen | 22c | 5,764$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Michelsen | 52c | 4,424$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.99 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Giron | 79c | 3,531$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.19 | 147 | 66.7%98 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Michelsen | 33c | 2,929$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.24 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Michelsen | 51c | 2,893$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.81 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Michelsen | 49c | 2,814$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.8 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdb…6f6bbacked Giron | 49c | 2,734$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Michelsen | 12c | 2,734$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Michelsen | 43c | 2,686$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.7 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Giron | 44c | 2,589$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.61 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Michelsen | 41c | 2,485$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.34 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Michelsen | 52c | 2,421$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.88 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Michelsen | 46c | 2,138$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.39 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa51…a910backed Michelsen | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Giron | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Giron | 45c | 2,000$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.99 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Giron | 49c | 1,974$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.22 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Michelsen | 53c | 1,873$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron | 72c | 1,754$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Michelsen | 11c | 1,713$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Giron | 80c | 1,549$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Michelsen | 50c | 1,539$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.08 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Giron | 49c | 1,480$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.07 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Michelsen | 52c | 1,446$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.87 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Michelsen | 10c | 1,432$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf155…76bdbacked Michelsen | 57c | 1,351$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…44aabacked Michelsen | 49c | 1,330$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Giron | 69c | 1,161$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Michelsen | 53c | 1,046$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Giron | 49c | 1,024$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.49 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Giron | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6089…00e2backed Michelsen | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Michelsen | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Michelsen | 48c | 939.3$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.02 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Giron | 49c | 935.81$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.16 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Giron | 46c | 899.01$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.46 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Michelsen | 29c | 860$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.4 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Michelsen | 51c | 849.98$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.49 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Michelsen | 51c | 834.63$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.85 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Giron | 49c | 817.68$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.68 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Giron | 52c | 783.04$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.13 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Michelsen | 25c | 751.42$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Michelsen | 10c | 732.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Michelsen | 55c | 730$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Giron | 79c | 716.37$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Michelsen | 11c | 690.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798f…6f10backed Michelsen | 34c | 656.08$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Giron | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Giron | 51c | 595.18$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Michelsen | 53c | 568.11$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9333…3fa5backed Michelsen | 53c | 563.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Michelsen | 55c | 555$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.25 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Michelsen | 56c | 536$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…8e16backed Michelsen | 43c | 529.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Michelsen | 54c | 525.54$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Giron | 49c | 525.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Giron | 48c | 505.69$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Giron | 43c | 499.58$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Giron | 59c | 492.33$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Michelsen | 27c | 439.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Michelsen | 53c | 426.42$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Giron | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Michelsen | 22c | 406.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Giron | 49c | 402.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.2 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Michelsen | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked Michelsen | 52c | 368.06$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Michelsen | 33c | 361.25$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.85 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Michelsen | 51c | 340.12$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Giron | 76c | 324.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Giron | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Michelsen | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Michelsen | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…cf12backed Michelsen | 55c | 295.15$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Giron | 49c | 290.14$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.97 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d2…fd21backed Michelsen | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Michelsen | 55c | 279.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Michelsen | 53c | 230.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Giron | 55c | 200.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Michelsen | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Michelsen | 51c | 197.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Giron | 74c | 189.79$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.79 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Michelsen | 53c | 188.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Michelsen | 22c | 185.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Michelsen | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Michelsen | 32c | 175.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Michelsen | 57c | 174.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Michelsen | 31c | 173.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Michelsen | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Giron | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Michelsen | 18c | 128.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…4d84backed Giron | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…c788backed Giron | 69c | 126.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…b47fbacked Giron | 76c | 126.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Marcos Giron vs Alex Michelsenthis page
- Giron vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Giron vs. Michelsen: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Giron vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Giron vs. Michelsen: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Giron vs. Michelsen: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Giron vs MichelsenGiron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.