South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4000071972b08fdf9de007d6d9631d9593cd781cde4100a49f76727a2230329f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 7,296$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.15 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 5,875$3,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.49 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,788$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,339$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 33c | 2,064$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.39 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,033$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 1,864$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 41c | 495.89$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 32c | 442.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 430$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.41 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 35c | 426.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 33c | 411.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked No | 74c | 391.39$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Yes | 43c | 332.56$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 323.68$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…10ebbacked Yes | 39c | 306.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 249.41$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.19 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 60c | 187.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 14c | 175.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 68c | 140.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…be15backed No | 62c | 137$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 114$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 65c | 111$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 38c | 99.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 67c | 96.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Yes | 16c | 93.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…352cbacked Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5e…a693backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…e374backed Yes | 35c | 75.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2124…17e7backed Yes | 34c | 61.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…fb2ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 21c | 52.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 34c | 51.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed No | 62c | 48.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…e93bbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 64c | 38.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 35.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…22d6backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 33c | 33.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 57c | 30.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked No | 63c | 19.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 70c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed No | 64c | 17.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will CF Pachuca vs. CF América end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.