South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda9ed8ccac4d80c2a1831b046cd1397dd2ae843460cab253e8a9c8d4c269b6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 6,701$5,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 30c | 5,615$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.3 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.93 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 3,734$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.57 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 70c | 2,418$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 2,102$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 780$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 734.98$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 15c | 683.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 34c | 567.29$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.88 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 31c | 548.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 27c | 413.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 24c | 413$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 27c | 309$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4daa…6920backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 78c | 122.31$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…9030backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 29c | 98.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 91.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 80c | 77.85$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 80c | 69$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…5c46backed Yes | 24c | 58.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 21c | 54.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 66c | 51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 48.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 29c | 39.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 70c | 35.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 21.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 70c | 21.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed No | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…0dd5backed No | 72c | 14.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will CF América win on 2026-01-18?No won
- Will CF Pachuca vs. CF América end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.