TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,301
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,301 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c16,122$6,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,505.583,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over61c5,999$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.775152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over59c5,525$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.297062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2306459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.998752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over59c1,718$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3878248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e92…c03fbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over62c1,492$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.7822747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Under39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+47.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under39c999.97$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.999048.9%44 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Over52c999$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under41c968.79$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1756547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over61c962.34$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.348846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over60c592.91$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.3375142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over60c587.66$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.662263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over61c501.41$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.554658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.818759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over60c445.15$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.331464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over60c413.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.536549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under38c410.33$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9322829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under39c399.98$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.9933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over61c376$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6410945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over54c342$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.324252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under40c318.96$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6744749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over60c318$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.210040%40 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b9e…db57backed Over63c305.02$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.86580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+25.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205068%34 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Under39c299.99$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.991154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over54c296.3$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.311857.6%68 W · 50 L+15.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under39c283.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.151,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over52c233.45$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.054254.8%23 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+38.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under16c230$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.872035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce43…415abacked Over60c225.83$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…1943backed Under48c213.88$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.661546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over62c209.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.81376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8011056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over61c191.52$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.692454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under52c182.47$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8412832%41 W · 87 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over59c170.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5511748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over60c170.76$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.235137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c170.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.542,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e3…ec94backed Over63c165.08$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over61c165$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3530054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…ddfabacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over60c150.03$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.014445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.56959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over60c147.54$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8418746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xccd3…be19backed Under39c127.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.213254.5%72 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over64c115$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.758551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over59c109.48$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.4834655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Over61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391361.5%8 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1f27backed Over56c99.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over62c97.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3213073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over61c93.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.359252.2%48 W · 44 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5650…4cd8backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over61c91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.492157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over61c90.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.219551.6%49 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under38c79.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3913852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over52c73.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.116045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Over62c72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over62c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.676147.5%29 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.69265.2%60 W · 32 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e63…2d79backed Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.563268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under41c53.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7625850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Over61c52.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.565547.3%26 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over56c51.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf67…fc18backed Over61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd6…4ed9backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6054…bcedbacked Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Over62c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.72875%6 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over62c41.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9237344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x553e…5526backed Over61c40.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3216750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under37c38.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.120545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Over63c38.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11560%9 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…8065backed Over60c37.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe900…7937backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.792070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.799447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.268863.6%56 W · 32 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Over75c25.62$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.365364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over66c21.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.541,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over63c21.43$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.937867.9%53 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd861…931abacked Over61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f69…91d6backed Over60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Over62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.62445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.