Bundesliga · resolved market
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95c1e9ecab8add861c6fb60dd03a42e7c6792ae1f35fb2d853ec32d505d8b401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheimof TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 3,320$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 277 | 26.4%73 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 28c | 386.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.3 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 71c | 216.07$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.39 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 147 | 26.5%39 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 28c | 103.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 12c | 96.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 67c | 85.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 71c | 72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 60.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 71c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Borussia Mönchengladbach | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Borussia Mönchengladbach | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)this page
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.