Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd85fcdb5a322eb701d83dfd33a1d771a918556acd5d413b513544b49ab4d81a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 36c | 7,388$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.7 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 64c | 7,087$4,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 2,657$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.23 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 63c | 1,576$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 36c | 1,008$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.41 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 37c | 703.12$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.15 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 57c | 445.47$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.67 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 39c | 387.78$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.23 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 58c | 375.87$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 38c | 318.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 63c | 307.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 37c | 303.61$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 64c | 300.05$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked No | 6c | 300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 63c | 232.86$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 37c | 227$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked No | 37c | 214.29$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 64c | 185.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 62c | 181.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…f3f1backed Yes | 57c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 44c | 155$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.78 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 64c | 107.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 63c | 101.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…c7a2backed Yes | 61c | 96.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 63c | 82.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 62c | 80.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 65c | 80.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 63c | 75.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 50c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Yes | 63c | 57.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Yes | 62c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 37c | 55.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…d061backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 56c | 53.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39f…0af2backed No | 37c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891c…ef89backed No | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 39c | 51.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…e943backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Yes | 60c | 49.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Yes | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed No | 37c | 47.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 61c | 47.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 119 | 31.1%37 W · 82 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Yes | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 63c | 39.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…bc89backed Yes | 63c | 38.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…666cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 30 | 93.3%28 W · 2 L | +7.8wins | +0.26per pick | 67cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…e36bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…0156backed Yes | 63c | 31.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed No | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 62c | 20.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.