TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,347
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,347 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under71c9,454$6,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,675.172871.4%20 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under63c7,063$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,447.1575142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over37c5,907$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,721.297062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c4,287$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.553,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over38c2,476$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.1427138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under63c2,400$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under74c2,314$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.547458.1%43 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over39c1,648$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.28336.1%30 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over39c1,500$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under61c1,423$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.0310154.5%55 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under63c1,275$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.4444749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c696.82$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.451,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over39c653.85$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.856549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over41c612.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.198846.6%41 W · 47 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over37c606.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.2711056.4%62 W · 48 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under3c599.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.849143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over37c580.33$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.0278248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over39c529$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6930054%162 W · 138 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3102962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over67c479.99$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.44143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c435.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.632,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Under73c410.96$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9933340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over39c380$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.88420.2%17 W · 67 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Under61c329$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.69425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over38c302.65$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.6622829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea93…d9bdbacked Over37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189977.8%7 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+90.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.412454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over49c214$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5410552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over38c212.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0120753.6%111 W · 96 L+22.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+24.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Over37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1261154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7a…6563backed Under62c165$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-51.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed Over37c163.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.01560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+93.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over56c160.71$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.713161.3%19 W · 12 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+41.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under61c153$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.332653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over44c134$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6411955.5%66 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over30c128.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8211045.5%50 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c103.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.681,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over39c102.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5617930.2%54 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under60c102$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under63c101.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0218746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under62c101$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.62862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657825.6%20 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3991…b6c7backed Over37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634951%25 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Under61c89$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.291030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over38c84.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.15433.3%18 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over53c83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.937962%49 W · 30 L+10.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under61c79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.19850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Under62c69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.781020%2 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-72.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under63c69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4725850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f91…20ccbacked Under60c62$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.22250%11 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked Under62c61.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.937335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb0…b622backed Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc4…63f6backed Under45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.052035%7 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-45.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aae…e845backed Over38c58$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.568844.3%39 W · 49 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed Over38c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.2%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over38c49.34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f6…9cdabacked Over39c48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under62c48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.922138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.813852.2%72 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…9b1ebacked Under62c37$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over40c36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over40c33.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3337344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under33c33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8921041.9%88 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.89451.1%48 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.638151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd17…77fdbacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88d0…524cbacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over38c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1a…60e5backed Over39c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+70.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under70c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…8137backed Over39c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4918…3db7backed Over38c28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b91…27dcbacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157541.3%31 W · 44 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Under61c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b2…3647backed Under63c23.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc243…a568backed Over69c18.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.