Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a626d0732d0cb5c384defb3916f311afcf864f5cb9d18473f61ab29f4b94934
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,516$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.46 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 1,046$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.27 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 827.41$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.59 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 53c | 636.76$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.98 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4466…9ad1backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 46c | 408.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 51c | 400.14$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 185$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 42c | 136.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 63c | 125.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 47c | 121$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…be19backed No | 49c | 109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 63c | 106.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 46c | 73.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.88 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1be…7830backed Yes | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 559 | 55.1%308 W · 251 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 49c | 39.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…de60backed Yes | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 60c | 38.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 47c | 33.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…38cbbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…32b5backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd832…67e0backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 70c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.