Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3dffdd887796c18586857c49a7ad3c45ccf43f8af0582bd186cde9b00467a7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottingham Forest FCof Brentford FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 75c | 11,350$8,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.31 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Brentford FC | 25c | 7,098$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.78 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Brentford FC | 28c | 3,690$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.2 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 2,498$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.46 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Brentford FC | 29c | 1,700$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 1,401$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.29 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Brentford FC | 26c | 1,250$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.49 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Brentford FC | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Brentford FC | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 996.99$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.19 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…edf2backed Brentford FC | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Brentford FC | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Brentford FC | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 616.39$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Brentford FC | 27c | 604.59$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 582.22$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.2 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…2652backed Brentford FC | 70c | 470$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 406.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Brentford FC | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 30c | 352.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.76 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Brentford FC | 28c | 218.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 179.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Brentford FC | 29c | 119$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Brentford FC | 26c | 113.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Brentford FC | 29c | 108$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Brentford FC | 26c | 97.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…d023backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 62.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…d976backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 55.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 44.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Brentford FC | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nottingham Forest FC | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…c1dfbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 23.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…4176backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 20.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dff…d2d1backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa906…ff14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…ce65backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 13.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f6…2c1ebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.