Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcaa5ebfba2200ac03c278d298b65eb1015c5db68088ac7c940a3f4d999ec252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 10,978$4,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,661.22 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,400$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 75c | 2,200$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 72c | 1,949$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.72 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 74cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 1,772$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 50c | 1,194$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.72 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b4…827fbacked Over | 76c | 1,054$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 751.15$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.05 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 25c | 615.36$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 25c | 500.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Over | 68c | 441.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 60c | 330.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 16c | 320.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 24c | 262.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 76c | 260$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 25c | 189$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Over | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 76c | 132.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 52c | 131.69$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 26c | 119.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…3f31backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…3f17backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 26c | 90.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 74c | 80.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 74.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1926…b195backed Over | 75c | 70.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 68c | 50.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 49.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 75 | 22.7%17 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 257 | 50.2%129 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 35.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 49c | 32.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 75c | 31.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 80c | 28.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Over | 50c | 24.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 52 | 80.8%42 W · 10 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +57%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.