TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO1) - ESL One Birmingham Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof BetBoom Team, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,077 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9b5…09eebacked BetBoom Team67c16,082$10,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,742.7455157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked PARIVISION46c12,254$5,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,577.8418746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION51c12,211$6,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,986.966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION40c10,929$4,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,578.9354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION39c10,758$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,608.9545139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION33c9,915$3,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,624.7841242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed BetBoom Team63c5,608$3,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.696557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION45c5,173$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.9122643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed BetBoom Team54c5,000$2,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,709.459749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked PARIVISION43c4,879$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.7713020%26 W · 104 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed PARIVISION24c4,838$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,672.949636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team58c4,644$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,702.92,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed BetBoom Team52c4,384$2,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.2813441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed PARIVISION59c4,074$2,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,671.79447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION42c3,930$1,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.2532854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed PARIVISION71c3,380$2,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.5313068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7351…b857backed BetBoom Team65c3,346$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.32744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION46c3,308$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,790.4848954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked BetBoom Team46c3,198$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.941,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked BetBoom Team41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2302646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed BetBoom Team66c2,573$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.388749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION68c2,525$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.9614443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked PARIVISION45c2,482$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.9333845.6%154 W · 184 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056a…611fbacked BetBoom Team56c2,432$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.792343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed PARIVISION37c2,266$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.4452243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION42c2,085$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.6669644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked BetBoom Team59c2,048$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20122842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed PARIVISION45c1,750$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked PARIVISION41c1,723$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.8317133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe457…8c08backed BetBoom Team32c1,720$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.694748.9%23 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION33c1,501$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.9979959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked BetBoom Team66c1,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9909145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION43c1,377$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.7255751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed BetBoom Team52c1,357$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.7133549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION37c1,353$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.3816945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed BetBoom Team61c1,189$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.646649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed BetBoom Team58c1,128$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6260349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION38c1,101$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.0935758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked BetBoom Team56c1,078$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed PARIVISION50c1,070$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5354440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed BetBoom Team65c1,061$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.2138653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team31c1,044$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7650832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team71c1,042$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.9151049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed BetBoom Team59c1,040$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.577955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd3…be19backed BetBoom Team61c1,003$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed BetBoom Team67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BetBoom Team50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed BetBoom Team65c982.69$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.8233645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed BetBoom Team48c980$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.411547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed PARIVISION41c964.68$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.135339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed BetBoom Team55c955.42$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52524045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked BetBoom Team55c921.62$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50536654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed BetBoom Team44c915.7$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.344841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked PARIVISION58c912$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.1177458.5%453 W · 321 L+75.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed BetBoom Team71c900.04$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.7418075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3492…983fbacked PARIVISION42c850$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.477159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION79c805.39$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7111960.5%72 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked BetBoom Team72c800$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57639660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed BetBoom Team47c796$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.892561.2%566 W · 359 L+53.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed PARIVISION40c754.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3515051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed BetBoom Team49c749.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.513456%75 W · 59 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team60c721.18$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.31,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed BetBoom Team60c708.49$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4172035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed BetBoom Team59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.6917353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed PARIVISION44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed BetBoom Team60c602.15$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.43336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed BetBoom Team54c599$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.0980544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked BetBoom Team68c598.42$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.537851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed BetBoom Team58c589.12$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6913850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team59c558.99$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0738…6392backed BetBoom Team60c538.77$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7521264.2%136 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION34c530$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.1617444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked BetBoom Team48c529.36$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2492056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c27…eea9backed PARIVISION40c520.48$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.163464.7%22 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+19.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed33…9076backed BetBoom Team66c517.04$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed BetBoom Team59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked BetBoom Team54c500$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26825147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed BetBoom Team38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d03…9a41backed BetBoom Team52c500$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26223050.9%117 W · 113 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked BetBoom Team63c478.93$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.3618362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed PARIVISION41c451.25$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.2450053%265 W · 235 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…8e43backed PARIVISION33c451.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.161435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b8…50d8backed BetBoom Team58c440.79$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.663943.6%17 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed BetBoom Team71c423.63$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7845046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed BetBoom Team74c407.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed PARIVISION68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12845457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked BetBoom Team49c390.85$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.272343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked BetBoom Team43c389.29$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16652649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed PARIVISION27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3746049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed1c…0379backed BetBoom Team54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9412748%61 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked PARIVISION28c362.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.4170052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked BetBoom Team56c359.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5736759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION40c352.84$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8428062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed BetBoom Team36c352.72$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2457455.4%318 W · 256 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ac…c7b0backed PARIVISION54c350$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1612152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed BetBoom Team39c350$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.898622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BetBoom Team59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20034860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9553…cfc7backed BetBoom Team66c330.71$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.295158.8%30 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8796…e255backed PARIVISION39c307.74$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.721442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed BetBoom Team45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13567555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.