Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7f9352b706bb70b84c0c64acb65c20fe65cfee784c3014011fd79a1d8bb9c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,848 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked MOUZ | 16c | 24,000$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.17 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Yandex | 78c | 8,215$6,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.29 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 67c | 7,518$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.53 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 35c | 5,601$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.78 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Yandex | 69c | 4,944$3,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.36 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Team Yandex | 69c | 3,803$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed MOUZ | 34c | 3,452$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.68 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 64c | 3,279$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.01 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 35c | 2,804$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.28 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 31c | 2,488$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.04 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 32c | 2,135$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.25 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 68c | 2,017$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.27 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 67c | 1,911$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.53 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Yandex | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.87 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex | 66c | 1,500$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.78 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex | 66c | 1,386$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.13 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,381$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.78 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 1,269$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.33 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,164$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ | 13c | 1,154$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 34c | 1,018$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 30c | 1,003$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 30c | 943.48$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 900$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed MOUZ | 30c | 829.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Yandex | 70c | 828.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed MOUZ | 35c | 800$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 768.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.19 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 35c | 699.69$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.89 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 622.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 619.19$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.08 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed MOUZ | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 34c | 576.7$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 550$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked MOUZ | 31c | 550$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 447.69$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.69 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 437.31$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex | 72c | 424.16$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed MOUZ | 13c | 377$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Yandex | 64c | 342.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Yandex | 71c | 323.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…be19backed Team Yandex | 63c | 318.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Team Yandex | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 37c | 287.83$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ | 34c | 287.62$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ | 37c | 268.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Yandex | 64c | 234.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 65c | 202.63$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Yandex | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Yandex | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MOUZ | 27c | 198.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 33c | 198.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 196.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 31c | 178.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…67f7backed Team Yandex | 69c | 170.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 191 | 62.8%120 W · 71 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked MOUZ | 18c | 170.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Yandex | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Yandex | 63c | 159.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Yandex | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked MOUZ | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed MOUZ | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Team Yandex | 67c | 149.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Team Yandex | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 143.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Team Yandex | 71c | 141.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Team Yandex | 57c | 137.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 27c | 137.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 25c | 128.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…0d12backed MOUZ | 34c | 124$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…55a4backed Team Yandex | 66c | 124$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Yandex | 65c | 121.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 30c | 111.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked MOUZ | 36c | 108$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed MOUZ | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Team Yandex | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Yandex | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Yandex | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Yandex | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 26c | 99.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Yandex | 69c | 98$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Yandex | 67c | 96.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Team Yandex | 67c | 89.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked MOUZ | 23c | 87.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Team Yandex | 76c | 87.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 85.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed MOUZ | 36c | 69.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Team Yandex | 74c | 67.22$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.