Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fc683b3c00d8efbb16226d39675417b9ae62194d1c22b72daa2f948f0640189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $215,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 1c | 30,970$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed MOUZ | 30c | 10,628$3,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,188.51 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…ed88backed Team Yandex | 70c | 6,857$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 23c | 6,041$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.95 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 3,619$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.83 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 69c | 2,916$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.1 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed MOUZ | 3c | 2,870$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MOUZ | 13c | 2,414$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.97 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 32c | 2,074$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.52 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 2c | 2,052$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed MOUZ | 1c | 2,022$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked MOUZ | 2c | 1,700$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex | 71c | 1,578$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.27 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,215$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.65 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked MOUZ | 5c | 1,162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ | 5c | 764.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 25c | 753.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 20c | 735.25$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Team Yandex | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 13c | 644.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 633.85$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked MOUZ | 28c | 629.41$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.38 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed MOUZ | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 32c | 599.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 30c | 585.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.64 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 2c | 579$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 19c | 570.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…ad6fbacked Team Yandex | 66c | 550$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked MOUZ | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 31c | 478.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 467.96$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked MOUZ | 34c | 444.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked MOUZ | 16c | 436.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked MOUZ | 33c | 421.51$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Team Yandex | 77c | 417.63$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Yandex | 69c | 399.34$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex | 77c | 390.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Team Yandex | 78c | 385.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked MOUZ | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed MOUZ | 34c | 292.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 279.98$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…bf95backed Team Yandex | 72c | 275.1$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 259 | 53.3%138 W · 121 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cd…3ca2backed MOUZ | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked MOUZ | 8c | 262.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Yandex | 66c | 261.91$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42f…9390backed Team Yandex | 70c | 242.86$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 233.2$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Yandex | 79c | 226.37$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed MOUZ | 9c | 183$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 31c | 175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…642dbacked MOUZ | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed MOUZ | 33c | 163.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked MOUZ | 31c | 160.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 39cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked MOUZ | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Team Yandex | 70c | 143.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Yandex | 69c | 139.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Yandex | 72c | 139.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…8919backed Team Yandex | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked MOUZ | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 18c | 119.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 21c | 115.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Team Yandex | 67c | 109.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed MOUZ | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Yandex | 76c | 103.87$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 23c | 94.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 90.91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Team Yandex | 78c | 90.41$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8057…b7f1backed MOUZ | 14c | 89.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 27c | 87.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 15c | 84.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…19eebacked MOUZ | 26c | 84.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 32c | 78.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13aa…88d6backed MOUZ | 32c | 77.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 187 | 69%129 W · 58 L | +20.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…1edebacked Team Yandex | 71c | 70.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 30c | 69.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed MOUZ | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed MOUZ | 23c | 63.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed MOUZ | 29c | 58.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked MOUZ | 32c | 57.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed MOUZ | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Yandex | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Yandex | 68c | 49.98$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc4…748ebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 44.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed MOUZ | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 43.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…a4a6backed Team Yandex | 69c | 43.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed MOUZ | 27c | 42.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…b6d5backed Team Yandex | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed Team Yandex | 67c | 37.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked MOUZ | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Team Yandex | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Team Yandex | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group ATeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.