Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd31fdfc72f7ccd7a8d5fef8f0db3d216213adfe809a775852e45c7b4f0be2ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,605 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 66c | 6,034$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.61 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 33c | 3,517$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.46 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,827$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.73 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 33c | 1,810$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.94 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,391$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.13 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex | 72c | 1,165$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.02 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Team Yandex | 74c | 1,086$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 11c | 1,080$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,009$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.64 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 76c | 887.22$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed MOUZ | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Yandex | 67c | 748.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.36 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 25c | 678.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.81 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Team Yandex | 75c | 599.26$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 27c | 528.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.45 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Team Yandex | 70c | 481.43$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.43 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…d34cbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 477.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed MOUZ | 28c | 434.23$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.58 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…8e3bbacked MOUZ | 28c | 407.84$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed MOUZ | 33c | 359.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.83 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ | 34c | 355.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Yandex | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…b529backed MOUZ | 35c | 263$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked MOUZ | 34c | 258.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.87 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…41f2backed Team Yandex | 74c | 255.73$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…e600backed MOUZ | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302f…627cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 220$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Yandex | 68c | 217.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9d9cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 217$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed MOUZ | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MOUZ | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MOUZ | 32c | 185.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Team Yandex | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Team Yandex | 65c | 149.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Team Yandex | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed Team Yandex | 68c | 135.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…ce73backed Team Yandex | 65c | 133$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 131.89$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 131.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked MOUZ | 35c | 130.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…97eabacked Team Yandex | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed MOUZ | 20c | 129$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked MOUZ | 25c | 126.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 125.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ | 30c | 117.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada8…f97cbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 117$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Team Yandex | 67c | 116.42$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…e54bbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed Team Yandex | 75c | 115.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…a11abacked Team Yandex | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafdf…991bbacked Team Yandex | 70c | 111.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x271f…0a04backed Team Yandex | 65c | 108$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked MOUZ | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…ccc7backed Team Yandex | 65c | 102$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed MOUZ | 34c | 101.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…1270backed Team Yandex | 65c | 101$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Yandex | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed Team Yandex | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Team Yandex | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…748abacked MOUZ | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 26.2%34 W · 96 L | -15.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MOUZ | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed MOUZ | 32c | 94.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed MOUZ | 14c | 90.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 31c | 89.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked MOUZ | 20c | 88.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MOUZ | 28c | 88.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed MOUZ | 31c | 86.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed MOUZ | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…61f6backed MOUZ | 30c | 82.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86f…b8d9backed Team Yandex | 72c | 82.01$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 80.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b98…45dbbacked MOUZ | 34c | 79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Yandex | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…3f07backed Team Yandex | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Team Yandex | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked MOUZ | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 20c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed MOUZ | 16c | 71.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 18c | 66.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked MOUZ | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78d6…e790backed MOUZ | 30c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed MOUZ | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed MOUZ | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed MOUZ | 36c | 56.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Yandex | 67c | 52.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed MOUZ | 30c | 51.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…14c8backed MOUZ | 27c | 51.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f3…c7abbacked MOUZ | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed MOUZ | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8164…052bbacked MOUZ | 30c | 48.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Team Yandex | 68c | 48.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MOUZ | 35c | 45.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2367…c85dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 44.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked MOUZ | 31c | 42.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…b7ccbacked MOUZ | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…7f2cbacked Team Yandex | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.