Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x816e283899c13d4e3fc571d531295ef9aee3afca63d4e92c67f6124fcd0eaa4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 59c | 38,813$22,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,866.14 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 62c | 35,161$21,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,383.55 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 19c | 16,973$3,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.6 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 12,071$5,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,574.4 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 11,710$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 10,613$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.99 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 10,571$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.07 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 10,293$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,736.01 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 8,509$3,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,603.92 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 7,289$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,206.96 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 7,002$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.82 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 5,590$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 5,260$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 5,102$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.88 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 4,997$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.14 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 73c | 4,782$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.88 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 64c | 4,707$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.49 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,188$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.44 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 4,141$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.76 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 4,037$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.72 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 4,000$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 3,808$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.23 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 3,693$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.05 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 3,456$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.55 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 3,385$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.81 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 3,289$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.37 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 3,074$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.9 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 64c | 2,833$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 2,644$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.79 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,281$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.95 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,257$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.86 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,122$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.25 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 1,800$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,621$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.64 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,482$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.58 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,416$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.15 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,353$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.49 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,350$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,293$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,232$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 1,211$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.69 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,160$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.2 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 1,135$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.09 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,130$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.88 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,110$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 1,095$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 1,048$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.34 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 952.87$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.97 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit | 62c | 933.06$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 50c | 876.26$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.26 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit | 65c | 858$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.46 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team Spirit | 60c | 843.52$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.2 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 843.33$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 841.99$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.42 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 839.93$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.81 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 725.9$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.57 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 700$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 699.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.8 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 699.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 674.07$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 670$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 61c | 614.75$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.75 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 599.99$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 599.91$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 556.02$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 60c | 540.87$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.35 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 520.22$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.49 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 519.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5664backed Team Spirit | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5132…020dbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 484.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf2…7706backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 480$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 476.92$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Spirit | 64c | 471.53$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 445.71$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Spirit | 62c | 429.6$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.11 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 411.31$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Team Spirit | 56c | 410$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.8 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 391.8$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 390$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…59bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 380$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 373.78$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 369.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 58c | 359.52$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 345.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.19 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit | 62c | 338.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 63c | 325.12$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 323.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 56c | 322.96$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…be19backed Team Spirit | 76c | 321.78$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 317.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.47 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 316.78$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.