TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$65,659

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,659 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit68c6,805$4,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.5222842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Xtreme Gaming33c6,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00018452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming42c3,571$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.2333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Xtreme Gaming35c2,430$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.1960542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…6774backed Team Spirit66c2,333$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.293336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Xtreme Gaming34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6809839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Xtreme Gaming28c1,910$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.7838049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming17c1,788$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5985851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit61c1,700$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66334544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Xtreme Gaming29c1,685$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.6646649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit67c1,501$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.5329160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Team Spirit60c1,416$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.332373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3eb…33d3backed Team Spirit64c1,119$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.925450%27 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit60c1,074$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.321,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Xtreme Gaming15c925.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8714744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Xtreme Gaming28c877.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.877231.9%23 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit69c859.66$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.692,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Xtreme Gaming44c676.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit72c669$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.631,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming35c631.72$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.631,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Xtreme Gaming36c600.01$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8117740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd331…387fbacked Xtreme Gaming46c527.94$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae16…7111backed Team Spirit62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Xtreme Gaming37c468.98$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.8280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8b0…2aaebacked Team Spirit65c431.25$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f7…a146backed Team Spirit64c412$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.325947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Xtreme Gaming39c386.43$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.293531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Xtreme Gaming41c368.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Xtreme Gaming37c268.17$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed4…f891backed Team Spirit69c216.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.623256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Xtreme Gaming37c209.22$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7518739%73 W · 114 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Xtreme Gaming5c203.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.191040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4236…7040backed Xtreme Gaming36c202$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…30a0backed Team Spirit61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Team Spirit46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085048%24 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Xtreme Gaming39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7838649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Team Spirit46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1081520%3 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-59.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Xtreme Gaming39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7897142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Spirit61c199.98$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9912642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf836…e7b5backed Xtreme Gaming17c175.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0819156%107 W · 84 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Team Spirit62c161.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6141248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Team Spirit60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Xtreme Gaming37c150$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.53330.3%10 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec41…1134backed Team Spirit79c149.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4215854.4%86 W · 72 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming18c135.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8956548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Team Spirit62c120.65$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.85850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Team Spirit46c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Xtreme Gaming38c105$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.44820.8%10 W · 38 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-55.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Team Spirit46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5418248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7dc…b33dbacked Xtreme Gaming39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9560%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Xtreme Gaming34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3422845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit60c93.33$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3320642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Xtreme Gaming36c79.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7250247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Team Spirit60c78.98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea97…18e3backed Team Spirit66c75.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Team Spirit46c73$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7722552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2484…6dfcbacked Team Spirit70c72.74$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8384…1af4backed Team Spirit78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Spirit62c63.05$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1378516.6%130 W · 655 L-135.4wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc937…273bbacked Xtreme Gaming35c61.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.199036.7%33 W · 57 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155b…d7babacked Team Spirit51c60.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7414962.4%93 W · 56 L+21.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd6dd…c6b6backed Team Spirit66c60.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit57c55.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8734154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Spirit46c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9565337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Spirit51c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9736044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f8…ce1dbacked Team Spirit60c52.48$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Xtreme Gaming39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-74.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x445c…c4f1backed Team Spirit63c47.94$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.943100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Xtreme Gaming31c43.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.271,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75c…6d61backed Xtreme Gaming33c42.75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9810…b0debacked Xtreme Gaming41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Spirit46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.630250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabd…54fcbacked Team Spirit79c36.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Team Spirit79c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.352781.5%22 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3322961.1%140 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Team Spirit51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1724527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d7b…a772backed Team Spirit63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Xtreme Gaming36c31.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2320349.8%101 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Spirit64c29.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7922456.3%126 W · 98 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Team Spirit71c29.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.567157.7%41 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Spirit63c29.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9423653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Team Spirit46c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.0125351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9149…1fd6backed Team Spirit77c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe244…bc40backed Team Spirit65c27.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b60…82e5backed Team Spirit62c20.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Team Spirit67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.612759.8%76 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf00…af7abacked Team Spirit64c18.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit80c16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.244149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x187c…4561backed Team Spirit80c14.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.