Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d33e097b3a98d1e3ccf0389668d162bacb9fa77a1e95bb1aafdf3a8e3f3a26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,250
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,250 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 51c | 38,600$19,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,052.36 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 30,398$19,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,677.18 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 15,851$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,926.97 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 12,644$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.39 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 12,328$7,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,502.99 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 12,091$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,554.05 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 9,746$3,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,313.11 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 78c | 9,240$7,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.78 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 9,015$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Spirit | 65c | 8,477$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.94 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 8,435$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.04 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 8,315$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.05 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 8,183$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,602.15 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 8,129$2,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,892.13 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 7,107$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.58 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 7,015$3,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,622.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 6,804$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.67 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 6,357$2,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.94 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 6,262$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 5,753$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.42 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 5,411$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.58 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 62c | 5,153$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.72 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 4,935$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.08 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 4,001$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 59c | 3,535$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.31 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 3,253$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.4 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 2,882$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.03 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 2,853$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55db…8db6backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 2,852$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 65c | 2,648$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.19 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0942…f42fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 2,629$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 2,100$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 2,059$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 1,987$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.4 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Xtreme Gaming | 8c | 1,700$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,468$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,370$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 1,353$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.81 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 1,192$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.2 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,161$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.73 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 1,119$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.07 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…5bc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,083$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 126 | 38.9%49 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 1,078$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 953$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…387fbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 927.82$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Spirit | 66c | 855.18$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.04 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…b857backed Team Spirit | 63c | 836.64$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 822.64$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.99 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Team Spirit | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Team Spirit | 40c | 799.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.64 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 781.85$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 41c | 777.22$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 776.2$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 66c | 771.92$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.92 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 699.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Team Spirit | 63c | 690.62$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 684.33$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 684.08$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed Team Spirit | 71c | 681.02$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 645.93$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 635.39$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 627.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 626.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.41 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 611.61$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.37 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 600$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 581$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 573.05$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Spirit | 65c | 514.86$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.77 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…f319backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 504.81$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.35 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 499.98$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.98 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit | 65c | 494.43$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 33c | 493.59$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.01 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Team Spirit | 66c | 486.23$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.32 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 47c | 480.83$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.16 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Team Spirit | 64c | 468.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.86 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Team Spirit | 65c | 463$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.59 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 452.63$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Team Spirit | 56c | 448.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Spirit | 65c | 448.25$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Spirit | 45c | 430$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…2aaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Team Spirit | 50c | 388.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Xtreme Gaming | 35c | 384.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 384.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 380.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4c…1cc2backed Team Spirit | 65c | 369.23$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 358$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 343.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.03 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.