La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e2d6ea0d5b8640bc13598a384777f5cfd422e9eb35a70e1fd683bebe2cf6416
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,906 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 3,246$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.34 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 49c | 1,051$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.89 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35c…dc38backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 46c | 982.62$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 26c | 800$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 683.9$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.48 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 449.64$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 377.12$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 50c | 273.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.89 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 42c | 268.54$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.54 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 48c | 249.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 47c | 249.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 54c | 216.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.37 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 211.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.45 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 177.93$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.87 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 163.58$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 161.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Yes | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 71c | 122.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 117.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cd…0819backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 37c | 108.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.18 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 56c | 78.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 46c | 75.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 74.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…c3ccbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 66.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 46c | 66.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 63.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 59.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 52.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 51.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 75c | 50.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed No | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9c…d108backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 70c | 39.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 57c | 39.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…cbdcbacked Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 50c | 37.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…3d2abacked Yes | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 59c | 35.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Yes | 64c | 33.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…1ebabacked No | 38c | 31.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…0c59backed No | 51c | 30.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 49c | 26.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 46c | 25.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 62c | 24.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 69c | 23.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…91c3backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 56c | 18.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.