La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f5543bff9c112b5a8e8bf9637a646a2c4b962d9db690a8d7846b1648f000e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,243 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 9c | 2,381$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.29 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 69c | 1,015$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 50c | 638.65$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.05 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 607.02$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.02 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 332.38$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.18 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 275.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.57 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 22c | 193$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.54 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 32c | 179.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 177.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 12c | 126.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…309ebacked Yes | 48c | 123$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 35c | 115.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 98.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 67.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.74 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 23c | 45.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 68c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 80c | 19.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.