La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf91db0f2c40c3f025a7d1bbf2d98988f4c085e88a532e7e0035afcf5f0fa1e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,837 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 74c | 6,800$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 72cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 25c | 5,408$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.22 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 75c | 5,225$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.32 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 26c | 5,033$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.64 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 24c | 995.35$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.16 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 908.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 803$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.5 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 75c | 665$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Yes | 12c | 420.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 25c | 367.35$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 74c | 330$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 14c | 324.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 234.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 226.73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 8c | 219.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 211.8$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 14c | 188.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 175.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 28cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 75c | 108$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 24c | 77.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 77c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 75c | 24.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-07?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.