Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf31f487908c93e842aa4df917d8942c02e47503b4e1c9a40bb3121a19f68ba60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCF Knightsof Cincinnati Bearcats, UCF Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,177 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed UCF Knights | 79c | 37,489$29,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,788.87 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed UCF Knights | 42c | 15,333$6,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,880.04 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 29c | 14,921$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.53 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 12,453$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,280.85 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCF Knights | 42c | 11,894$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,903.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 9,396$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355.49 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked UCF Knights | 46c | 9,133$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,932.27 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 23c | 9,023$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.4 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed UCF Knights | 12c | 8,166$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.18 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 6,206$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.32 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 5,250$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,044.82 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked UCF Knights | 42c | 4,999$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.48 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked UCF Knights | 43c | 4,524$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,558.6 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 69c | 4,498$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 3,659$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.56 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 3,293$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.77 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 41c | 3,073$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.1 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 53c | 3,068$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.11 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UCF Knights | 39c | 2,599$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 2,461$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.98 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 2,350$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.31 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 32c | 2,242$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.24 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 68c | 2,223$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 34c | 1,773$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.79 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 1,586$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.91 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 52c | 1,570$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.14 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 15c | 1,466$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 65c | 1,340$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.72 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed UCF Knights | 41c | 1,263$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.45 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked UCF Knights | 41c | 1,250$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.74 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UCF Knights | 31c | 1,114$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.43 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked UCF Knights | 43c | 1,113$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.02 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 65c | 1,006$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.52 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 928.3$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.36 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…923bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 900$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +248.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 49c | 882.6$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.28 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 41c | 833.04$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.45 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 6c | 795.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 37c | 745.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.78 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 55c | 726.16$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.13 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF Knights | 34c | 724.42$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.15 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 70c | 680.6$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed UCF Knights | 29c | 655.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.75 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…2008backed UCF Knights | 69c | 574.02$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UCF Knights | 74c | 568.7$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.27 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 538.47$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.31 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…544abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked UCF Knights | 42c | 472.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 440.31$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked UCF Knights | 43c | 400$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 78c | 399.94$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.44 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UCF Knights | 18c | 390.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.42 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 6c | 371.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked UCF Knights | 10c | 360.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 5c | 332.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 314.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UCF Knights | 39c | 312.79$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UCF Knights | 38c | 301.82$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed UCF Knights | 42c | 300.34$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.39 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked UCF Knights | 42c | 299.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 46c | 292.57$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.74 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 268.92$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UCF Knights | 53c | 267.56$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UCF Knights | 57c | 244.25$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 58c | 230.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 66c | 218.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.64 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed UCF Knights | 43c | 211.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.92 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 80c | 204.06$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.25 | 190 | 57.4%109 W · 81 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCF Knights | 58c | 201.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 199.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…db45backed UCF Knights | 42c | 198.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a2…b30cbacked UCF Knights | 42c | 198.29$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 67c | 190.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed UCF Knights | 76c | 188.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed UCF Knights | 41c | 177.6$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.23 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UCF Knights | 77c | 173.32$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 68c | 172$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed UCF Knights | 13c | 170.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 170.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 59c | 168.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed UCF Knights | 24c | 164.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.82 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UCF Knights | 42c | 163$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 63c | 158.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +10.9wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 43c | 156.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 43c | 150.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…a8a3backed UCF Knights | 67c | 147.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 69c | 125$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 123.95$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCF Knights | 54c | 120.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.75 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…ba73backed UCF Knights | 43c | 115.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 60c | 104.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed UCF Knights | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…9bdbbacked UCF Knights | 48c | 103.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed UCF Knights | 41c | 102.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 100.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knightsthis page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 147.5Under won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-2.5)UCF Knights won
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5)UCF Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.